Politics

PMBs VICTORY 2019: For Those Keen On The Numbers And Geopolitical Voting Patterns

If not for the gross numbers from the Southsouth and Southeast, APC would have found it difficult to match the PDP’s onslaught in the overall win margin.

The question is: how can the battle ground produces a bigger margin than the so-called stronghold that had cornered all the federal positions, including the Vice President, Minister of Power, Works and Housing, Finance, Communications, and holders of executive positions like FIRS among others?

Indeed, if PMB’s victory was left to the Southwest, everything would have been on a cliff hanger. Why? Because the Southwest is the only supposedly APC zone in the South of Nigeria. Suppose the APC got zero in the South west. Still PMB would have won with still a margin of over 2 million votes. You could argue about spread, but is neither here nor there.

Let us not keep deceiving ourselves. The geopolitical map has changed electorally. But because of the media power some people would want us to believe that some “godfather” somewhere was what made PMB possible. Absoute fiction and a nauseating affront on the popular sensibility.

New alliances are possible, or at best the historical alliances and bridge building process from the first republic through to June 12, 1993 could be resuscitated to give Nigerian politics a new lease of life.

The statistics below reveal as much, as we move into 2023.

2019 Presidential Election Result ~~~

1. SOUTH SOUTH
APC 1,104,940
PDP 2,190,338

Total 3,295,278

PDP won SouthSouth with a margin of 1,085,398 votes.

2. SOUTH EAST
APC 403,965
PDP 1,693,485

Total 2,097,450

PDP won SouthEast with a margin of 1,289,520 votes.

3. SOUTH WEST
APC 2,036,439
PDP 1,776,881

Total 3,813,320

APC won SouthWest with a margin
of 259,558 votes.

4. NORTH CENTRAL
APC 2,313,375
PDP 1,762,308

Total 4,075,683

APC won NorthCentral with a margin of 551,066 votes.

5. NORTH EAST
APC 3,238,783
PDP 1,255,571

Total 4,494,354

APC won NorthEast with a margin of 1,983,212 votes.

6. NORTH WEST
APC 5,995,651
PDP 2,280,445

Total 8,276,096

APC won NorthWest with a margin of 3,715,206 votes.

TOTAL
APC 15,093,153 votes.
PDP 10,959,028 votes.

Final Margin
4,134,125 votes.

By Yakub Aliyu